Hostage Taking: Understanding Terrorism Event Dynamics

The Effects of Democratic Presidential and Parliamentary Systems on Hostage-Taking Terrorism

Hostage Taking and Kidnapping in Terrorism: Predicting the Fate of a Hostage

This article examines how open source data collected and organized in a relational database can be used to better understand the factors that contribute to the decision to kill or release a hostage in a terrorist kidnapping situation. This study is significant because of its quantitative approach since this area of study has suffered a shortage of quantitative data and corresponding analyses. T...

Terrorism and Game Theory Coalitions, negotiations and audience costs

iii Preface The decision to study Peace & Development and conducting my research into terrorism was primarily motivated by my experiences whilst carrying out research in Peru during the hostage situation of the Japanese Embassy in 1996 (initiated by the Moviemento Revolutionario de Tupac Amaru (MRTA)). Peruvians condemned the action, but sure, their manifesto was sound and true and the director...

A pilot study of naturally occurring high-probability request sequences in hostage negotiations.

In the current study, the audiotapes from three hostage-taking situations were analyzed. Hostage negotiator requests to the hostage taker were characterized as either high or low probability. The results suggested that hostage-taker compliance to a hostage negotiator's low-probability request was more likely when a series of complied-with high-probability requests preceded the low-probability r...

Working Paper No. 03-04-02 An economic perspective on transnational terrorism

This paper indicates how economic analysis can be applied for enlightened policy making with respect to transnational terrorism. Both theoretical tools (e.g., game theory and utilitymaximizing models) and empirical techniques (e.g., time series and spectral analysis) are used to put modern-day terrorism into perspective and to suggest policy responses. From hostage negotiations to the installat...